N'ime ọnwa asatọ mbụ nke 2022, mmepụta fatịlaịza ịnweta na Russia belatara site na 2.5% ma e jiri ya tụnyere otu oge ahụ n'afọ gara aga, ọwa Telegram nke Gazprombank Economic Forecasting Center na-akọ, na-ezo aka na data Rosstat gbanwere maka mgbako nke ndị sonyere n'ahịa. N'otu oge ahụ, mmepụta ka karịrị na 2019 na 2020 site na 10.5% na 4%, n'otu n'otu. Na Jenụwarị-August 2022, mmepụta nke fatịlaịza potash belatara nke ukwuu - site na 25.1%, fatịlaịza nitrogen dakwara site na 6.3%, ebe mmepụta nke urea mụbara site na 6.1%, na ammonium nitrate - site na 10.1%. Mbupụ fatịlaịza n'ozuzu dara site na 11%, isi ọdịda bụ na ammonium nitrate (ihe fọrọ nke nta ka ọ bụrụ 50%), potassium chloride (site na 24.8%) na CAS (site na 32.2%). Nke a bụ n'ihi mbelata nke ọchịchọ na Europe na ihe isi ike ngwa ngwa, n'agbanyeghị na ọ dịghị mmachibido iwu ịzụta fatịlaịza ịnweta sitere na Russia.
Dị ka Kommersant's interlocutors si kwuo, ka ọ na-erule n'oge okpomọkụ, ndị isi Russia na-emepụta fatịlaịza nwere phosphorus na nitrogen emewo ka mmachi ahụ na ụbara nri na ahịa ndị ọzọ: Phosagro, dịka ọmụmaatụ, belatara ihe oriri na Europe, ma mụbaa mbupụ na India site ugboro 2.5. . Eurochem na-atụgharịkwa ngwaahịa sitere na ahịa ebe enwere ihe mgbochi na mpaghara ndị ọzọ. Nsogbu kachasị njọ bilitere na Uralchem n'ihi nkwụsị nke pipeline Tolyatti-Odessa amonia, yana Uralkali, nke mbupụ ya n'etiti oge okpomọkụ belatara site na 25-30% mgbe nkwụsị nke ọdụ ụgbọ mmiri nke ụlọ ọrụ ahụ nwere na Baltic States. akwụkwọ akụkọ ahụ na-ede.
N'ime ọnwa isii na-esote, ngalaba ahụ ga-eche ihu mmụba nke ibu ego: a na-atụ anya na a ga-etinye ụgwọ ọrụ mbupụ na fatịlaịza ma ọ bụrụ na ọnụ ahịa ụwa nke phosphorus na nitrogen fatịlaịza gafere $ 500 / ton, potash - $ 400 / ton. Na mgbakwunye, a na-atụ anya na ọnụahịa gas maka ndị na-azụ ahịa ụlọ ọrụ Russia ga-edepụta 8.5% na Disemba. Dị ka Kommersant si kwuo, na mmalite nke August, ọnụ ahịa ụwa maka ịnweta nri fatịlaịza nọgidere na ọkwa dị elu: ya mere, diammonium phosphate na mbupu na Baltic na-efu $ 832 / t, potassium - $ 660 / t, urea - $ 581 / t. Na 2023, atụmatụ mmefu ego gụnyere mwepu nke ihe karịrị 100 ijeri rubles sitere na ụlọ ọrụ kemịkalụ n'ụdị ọrụ.
Onye isi oche nke otu ndị na-emepụta fatịlaịza nke Russia (RAPU) Maxim Kuznetsov na-ekwu na ahịa ụlọ bụ ihe kacha mkpa mgbe niile maka ụlọ ọrụ fatịlaịza ịnweta fatịlaịza Russia. Dị ka ya si kwuo, n'ime afọ asaa gara aga, ndị ọrụ ugbo ejirila okpukpu abụọ zụta fatịlaịza ịnweta ruru nde tọn ise nke fatịlaịza ịnweta n'afọ gara aga. Site na 5, Ministri Ọrụ Ugbo na-ebu amụma mmụba na ọnụ ọgụgụ a ruo nde tọn 2030. Ọ gbakwụnyere, "Mmepụta nke ụdị nri fatịlaịza ndị bụ isi na Russia na-eto: ihe karịrị 8.8% n'ime afọ asaa gara aga, gụnyere 30% na 5.6," ka ọ gbakwụnyere. Na mgbakwunye, dị ka Kuznetsov si kwuo, n'ime ọnwa asatọ mbụ nke 2021, mmepụta nke fatịlaịza kachasị ewu ewu na Russia - nitrogen na phosphorus - mụbara site na 2022% na 4.2% n'otu n'otu. Na mkpokọta ike na ụlọ ọrụ, dị ka ndị a si Rosstat data, na-egbochi site a dobe na mmepụta nke potassium chloride - kacha nta iwesa ụdị nri na anụ ụlọ ahịa, na-akọwa Kuznetsov.
"N'ihe banyere ndabere a, a na-atụ anya na n'afọ a ọsọ ọsọ nke ịzụrụ fatịlaịza ịnweta n'ime ụlọ ọrụ agro-ụlọ ọrụ ga-agafe amụma ahụ. Site n'etiti October, ụlọ ọrụ ụlọ ọrụ nwere fọrọ nke nta 100% zutere ina nke Russian agro-industrial mgbagwoju maka ịnweta fatịlaịza maka dum 2022. Ọganihu nnyefe nke ịnweta fatịlaịza maka mmiri agha agha nke 2023 amalitelarị na a ọnụ ọgụgụ nke mpaghara," Kuznetsov gwara Agroinvestor okwu. Dị ka ya si kwuo, ugbu a, dị ka aro nke FAS, kwetara na Ministry of Industry na Trade, Ministry of Agriculture na Ministry of Economic Development, ọnụ ala ahịa maka ịnweta fatịlaịza maka ugbo na-obere na emepụta 'azụmahịa atumatu. ma biputere ya na webụsaịtị ha. Ndụmọdụ ndị ngalaba ahụ kwekọrịtara na-enye maka nkọwapụta nke ọnụ ahịa ntakịrị na 2022: site na 5% site na June 1, site na 5-10% site na Septemba 1 yana site na 8.4-8.6% site na Disemba 1.
Dị ka Dmitry Rylko, Director General nke Institute of Agricultural Market Conjuncture si kwuo, ọ bụghị uru na-agụta na mmụba nke anụ ụlọ oriri nke ịnweta fatịlaịza: uru nke ihe ubi azụmahịa ebelatawo nke ukwuu, ebe fatịlaịza ahịa ọ bụghị nanị na-anọgide na elu. ọkwa, ma na-eto eto n'ọtụtụ ọnọdụ. Ọzọkwa, mgbanwe mgbanwe agaghị eme na ntụziaka mbupụ, ebe ọ bụ na emebelarị ahịa niile, ọ bụ ezie na a ka na-emezigharị ihe ndị dị ntakịrị, ọ gwara Agroinvestor.
Osote onye isi oche nke Russian Grain Union (RZS) Alexander Korbut kwenyere na e nwere mba ndị chọrọ ịbawanye ịzụrụ fatịlaịza, mana ajụjụ bụ na "ha nwekwara ego." Ndị na-emepụta Russia ga-enwe ike ịbanye n'ahịa ọhụrụ, ma ọ na-ewe oge. Ka ọ dị ugbu a, mmachibido iwu na-akwadoghị na-emetụta ma na-enwe mmetụta na-adịghị mma n'ihe na-ebuga mba ndị na-azụ ahịa ọdịnala, o kwuru.
Dị ka Korbut si kwuo, enwere atụmanya maka uto zuru ụwa ọnụ na nri fatịlaịza: a chọrọ nnukwu owuwe ihe ubi, na n'ọnọdụ nke oke ala na mmiri mmiri, ụwa agaghị enwe ike ime na-enweghị fatịlaịza ịnweta n'ime iri afọ ndị na-abịanụ, n'agbanyeghị amụma gburugburu ebe obibi nke mba ụfọdụ na-agbaso echiche nke ịmachi ojiji ha. Uto nke oriri fatịlaịza nwekwara ike na Russia, mana iji fatịlaịza ịnweta nke oge a na-ekpebi ọkwa nkà na ụzụ nke ugbo, nke a na-achọkwa ihe ọhụrụ ndị a na-ekpebi site na ntinye ego, nke, n'aka nke ya, dabere na ego. "Ma amụma steeti ugbu a gbasara mmepụta ihe ọkụkụ, ndị na-emepụta ọka na mmanụ mmanụ, na mgbochi na mbupụ na ego nke ndị na-emepụta ugbo anaghị eme ka ha nwee mmepe nkà na ụzụ," Korbut gwara Agroinvestor.
Alexander Nezhenets, General Director nke Progress agrofirm (Krasnodar Territory), na-ekwu na ọnụ ahịa nke ụfọdụ ụdị fatịlaịza abawanyela nke ukwuu. Karịsịa, ammophos ugbu a na-efu 61.5 puku rubles / ton (na 2021, ụlọ ọrụ zụtara ya maka oge abụọ karịa okpukpu abụọ dị ọnụ ala karịa), na fatịlaịza nitrogen ebiliwo n'ọnụ ahịa ihe dịka 20%, ebe CAS maka Ọktọba enweghị ike inye iwu. Ma n'agbanyeghị ihe isi ike niile, ọ gara n'ihu, ọganihu ga-amụba ngwa nke fatịlaịza, dị ka ụlọ ọrụ na-agbalịsi ike maka nnukwu owuwe ihe ubi.
Ụlọ ọrụ Tver Agro-Industrial azụtabeghị fatịlaịza: n'afọ gara aga, onye ọ bụla zụrụ ihe n'oge mgbụsị akwụkwọ, n'ihi nke a na-agba ọsọ, na ụfọdụ ụdị fatịlaịza bụ ihe na-agaghị ekwe omume ịzụta, ebe n'oge opupu ihe ubi, nsogbu ndị dị otú ahụ adịghị. hụrụ ogologo oge. "Olu ngwa na-adabere n'ihe anyị ga-eme na ịgha mkpụrụ: na ọnụ ahịa ọka ugbu a, anyị nwere ike ghara ịmepụta ịgha mkpụrụ. Mgbe ahụ, n'ihi ya, fatịlaịza adịghị mkpa, "Konanykhin kwubiri.
Isi mmalite: https://www.agroinvestor.ru/